Bonds Bonds Bonds!
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A 3‑sleeve tactical mix that compares bond strength to “short‑the‑market” funds to flip between offense and defense. Offense: SPY/QQQ/Tech; defense: Staples, cash‑like T‑bills, or a short S&P fund. Uses trend (200‑day) and oversold (RSI) signals.
The portfolio is split into 3 equal sleeves. Each asks: are bond funds (BND, IEI, TLT) showing stronger recent gains than inverse stock funds (SH, PSQ, which rise when stocks fall)? If yes, go risk-on: buy SPY, QQQ, or Tech (XLK), favoring uptrends (SPY above its 200‑day average) or oversold bounces (RSI is a 0–100 gauge of recent up vs down; low=oversold). If not, go defensive: Staples (XLP), cash‑like T‑bills (SHV), or short S&P (SH).
Three-sleeve, bond-led trend strategy that tilts to stocks in uptrends and to staples/cash/shorts in risk-off. OOS drawdown 17.9% vs 18.8% for the S&P; Calmar ~1.06; ~19% OOS return vs ~23.4% - better risk control with growth potential.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 5, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum, trend following, rsi, inverse etfs, risk-on/risk-off, sector rotation, tech tilt, defensive hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks