Bonds Baby 2 [CMP] (K-1 Free)
Today’s Change (Oct 20, 2026)
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About
Daily, rules‑based switch between a Nasdaq offense and a bond/USD safety playbook. Uses trend and “hot/cold” signals to hold 3× Nasdaq (TQQQ), short it (SQQQ), or park in T‑Bills; also rides bond moves via TMF/TMV. High risk from leverage.
Daily it asks: are mid‑term Treasuries IEI (3–7yr) beating T‑Bills BIL? If yes, tech playbook: when credit is strong (ANGL/HYG high‑yield) go TQQQ (3× Nasdaq); else use trend/“hot vs cold” checks to hold TQQQ, flip to SQQQ (–3×), or sit in BIL. If no, it “surfs” rates with TMF/TMV (±3× long Treas.), paired with USDU (USD up)/GLD (gold)/BTAL (anti‑beta). Sizes favor the calmer asset. RSI = hot/cold; moving average = trend.
Out-of-sample strategy with 13.15% annualized return, 25.37% max drawdown, Sharpe ~0.51, Calmar ~0.52. Diversified exposure across Nasdaq, Treasuries, USD, and gold to navigate regime shifts beyond the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.49 | 0.79 | 0.17 | 0.41 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416.5% | 13.77% | -0.91% | 3.54% | 0.84 | |
| 107,878.35% | 73.12% | 6.25% | 18.58% | 1.82 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$10,797,834.91Regulatory Fees
$38,723.56
Total Slippage
$320,938.64
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 4, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, macro regime switch, nasdaq 100, treasuries, usd/gold hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ANGL
VanEck Fallen Angel High Yield Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks