Bond Selection 10D RSI
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A daily contrarian strategy that rotates into one defensive fund at a time—the bond or defensive-sector ETF that has been weakest over the last 10 days, hoping for a short-term rebound.
Each day, the strategy looks at 8 relatively defensive investments: several bond funds plus consumer staples, healthcare, and utilities.
It measures which one has been the weakest over the last 10 trading days using RSI, a simple score of recent price strength. It then puts all the money into the single lowest-scoring fund, betting that recent weakness may bounce back.
Out-of-sample edge: ~34.8% annual return vs ~15.8% for the S&P; Sharpe ~1.88 vs ~1.22; Calmar ~3.83. Drawdown ~9.09% vs ~8.89%. Rotating daily into the weakest defensives captures mean-reversion with attractive risk-adjusted gains.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.45 | 0.57 | 0.09 | 0.31 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 624.21% | 10.75% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.62 | |
| 901,776.59% | 59.95% | 3.2% | 4.66% | 1.43 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$90,187,658.88Regulatory Fees
$538,407.64
Total Slippage
$5,066,369.69
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 18, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Mean reversion, defensive rotation, bond rotation, rsi, daily rebalance, single-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
LQD
iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
UGE
ProShares Ultra Consumer Staples
Stocks
VBF
INVESCO BOND FUND
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks