Bond Selection 10D RSI
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Rotates daily into one 'safe' asset from a bond/defensive pool, picking the lowest 10-day RSI (weakest momentum) and weighting by inverse volatility if needed; uses a 20-day window and rebalances daily.
Plain-language description:
- The pool includes bond ETFs and defensive stock sectors: BSV (short-term bonds), TLT (long-term Treasuries), LQD (investment-grade bonds), VBF (bond fund), XLP (consumer staples), UGE (ultra consumer staples), XLV (health care), XLU (utilities).
- The strategy evaluates price momentum using a 10-day RSI for each asset. RSI is a momentum measure: it reflects how quickly prices have moved up or down over the last 10 trading days.
- It ranks assets by RSI and picks the lowest value (the weakest momentum) to hold (select bottom). This is a form of mean-reversion or defensive tilt, favoring assets that have been underperforming recently.
- If more than one asset were selected (select-n 1 means only one is chosen at a time), the weights would be allocated inversely to their volatility (wt-inverse-vol), i.e., less-volatile assets get more weight. With select-n = 1, you effectively hold 100% in the single chosen asset.
- The window-days = 20 likely provides an overall look-back frame for the RSI calculations or other metrics used in the decision process.
- Rebalance is daily, so every trading day the system re-evaluates and could switch to a different asset based on the latest RSI ranking.
- The asset_class is labeled EQUITIES, but the pool mixes bonds and defensive equity sectors, which means the strategy is primarily risk-controlled and selection-driven rather than strictly equity-only.
- The objective is to stay in relatively safer or defensive exposures while using short-term momentum signals, with a simple, rule-based daily refresh.
- Be aware of risks: inverse-vol weighting and RSI-based bottom selection can lead to whipsaws, levered exposure (e.g., UGE if used) can magnify losses, and bond ETFs are sensitive to interest-rate movements.
Outperforms the S&P with stronger risk-adjusted gains: oos annualized return ~38% vs 15%, oos Sharpe ~1.83 vs 1.31, beta ~0.27, and Calmar ~4.22. Daily RSI-driven defensive rotation targets upside with disciplined drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 523.53% | 10.23% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.59 | |
| 371,277.92% | 54.88% | -1.54% | 14.82% | 1.64 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$37,137,792.17Regulatory Fees
$284,823.45
Total Slippage
$1,990,140.45
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 18, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Defensive assets, bond proxies, sector rotation, volatility-aware
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
LQD
iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
UGE
ProShares Ultra Consumer Staples
Stocks
VBF
INVESCO BOND FUND
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks