Bond Movement vs Stock Movement (Framework)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rule-based strategy that switches between U.S. stocks, Treasury bonds, defensive funds, and occasional tech rebound trades based on whether stocks or bonds look stronger and whether either has become too stretched.
This strategy watches two big forces: the stock market and U.S. Treasury bonds. It uses long-term trend checks to decide whether bonds look healthy, then compares how stocks are doing versus bonds.
If stocks look strong but overheated, it often shifts into Treasury bonds for safety. If stocks are weak, it may move into safer bonds, defensive stock funds, or occasionally make a short-term bet on a rebound in technology shares.
Out-of-sample, this tactical stock-bond rotation offers S&P-like upside with far less risk: ~20.1% annualized vs ~20.7%, max drawdown ~10% vs ~19%, beta ~0.9, Calmar ~2.0. Regime-aware, risk-controlled diversification.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.18 | 0.59 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 574.01% | 14.63% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.9 | |
| 3,202.07% | 28.44% | 0.59% | 7.93% | 1.58 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$330,206.59Regulatory Fees
$986.09
Total Slippage
$8,328.91
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 10, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 3%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, stock-bond rotation, trend following, mean reversion, defensive, sector rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPHD
Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low Volatility ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks