Bond blend, else top 2 sectors (Low Risk)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
When stocks look overheated, rotate into a bond‑heavy blend plus a small volatility hedge. Otherwise, ride the two most active sectors with 2x ETFs, flipping long or short based on simple “overheated vs not” signals.
First, it checks if the S&P 500 looks “overheated” using a simple 0–100 speed/heat gauge (RSI). If overheated: put ~50% in a bond‑momentum mix (can be long, short, or T‑Bills), 30% in the two most active Treasury ETFs, and 20% in a volatility hedge (UVXY). Otherwise: pick the two stock sectors with the most movement and use 2x ETFs to go long if their bellwether stock isn’t overheated, or short if it is. Trend filters and safety checks reduce whipsaws.
Out-of-sample upside: annualized return ~39.4% vs SPY ~22.6%, Calmar ~1.29. Bond hedge in heat and levered sector bets capture bigger gains with solid risk control vs the S&P, though drawdowns are larger.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.17 | 2.06 | 0.57 | 0.75 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 26,372.89% | 47.39% | -9.13% | -13.12% | 1.08 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,647,289.34Regulatory Fees
$9,078.08
Total Slippage
$56,357.61
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, bonds, sector rotation, leveraged etfs, momentum & trend, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 44 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
BIB
ProShares Ultra NASDAQ Biotechnology
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BIS
ProShares UltraShort NASDAQ Biotechnology
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BRK/B
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
DUG
ProShares UltraShort Energy
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks