Bond blend, else top 2 sectors (Low Risk)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Stocks look “hot”? Move to Treasuries and a volatility hedge. Otherwise, rotate into the two most active sectors, using 2× bull or 2× bear funds guided by simple hot/cold and trend checks. Uses leveraged ETFs, so risk can be high.
Every few days it checks a simple “heat gauge” (RSI) on the S&P 500.
- If very hot (>70): shift mainly into U.S. Treasury bonds (esp. long‑term) using timing rules, add ~20% UVXY (a crash hedge), and pick 2 active Treasury ETFs.
- Otherwise: pick the 2 liveliest stock sectors and use 2× bull or 2× bear funds based on each sector leader’s heat and trend.
RSI = 0–100 hot/cold; moving averages = trend. TMF up when long‑term yields fall; TMV up when they rise; UVXY often spikes in panics.
Out-of-sample annualized return: ~39.4% vs SPY ~22.6%; Calmar ~1.29, signaling strong risk-adjusted upside. Bond/volatility hedges plus sector rotation target regime shifts to outperform the S&P.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,bonds,sector rotation,leveraged etfs,volatility hedge,trend/mean‑reversion
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 44 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
BIB
ProShares Ultra NASDAQ Biotechnology
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BIS
ProShares UltraShort NASDAQ Biotechnology
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BRK/B
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
DUG
ProShares UltraShort Energy
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks