A rules-based switch that rotates among big tech, defensive staples, or bearish tech funds (and occasionally leveraged tech) by reading simple trend/strength signals from stocks and bonds to go on offense or defense and sidestep long drawdowns.

It reads simple gauges: RSI (0–100 recent buying/selling strength) and moving averages (average price trend). Decision tree: • If safe bonds (TLT) look stronger than shorting tech (PSQ), hold QQQ (big tech). • Else if the S&P 500 is trending up, hold XLP (defensive staples). • Else if Nasdaq is very oversold, hold XLK (tech). • Else use a bear playbook to switch among PSQ/SQQQ (inverse Nasdaq), TECL/QLD (levered tech), or BTAL (defensive), based on recent drops and trend checks. Holds one ETF at a time.

Out-of-sample edge: ~28.5% annualized return vs ~19.7% for the S&P, with lower drawdown (16.4% vs 18.8%), beta ~0.65 and Calmar ~1.73. A simple, rules-based rotation into tech/defensives/hedges for bigger upside with controlled risk.