Bond Baller | 29% APY 18.8% Max DD | Jan 1 2007
Today’s Change (Aug 23, 2026)
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About
All-in ETF switcher that flips among QQQ, XLP, XLK, or an ETF that moves opposite the S&P 500 (SH) using three checks: bond vs anti‑Nasdaq momentum, the S&P 500’s 200‑day trend, and whether Nasdaq is short‑term “oversold.”
- If long Treasuries (TLT) show stronger recent momentum than a fund that rises when Nasdaq falls (PSQ), buy QQQ (big tech).
- Otherwise, if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average, hold Consumer Staples (XLP).
- If SPY is below that trend, buy Tech (XLK) only if a simple up‑vs‑down score (RSI) shows Nasdaq is “washed out” (<30); else hold an ETF that moves opposite the S&P 500 (SH).
Regime-aware ETF rotation (QQQ/XLK/XLP/SH) captures tech upside and hedges risk for diversification. Out-of-sample: Sharpe ~0.77, 14.6% annualized return, 22.2% max drawdown—disciplined, transparent complement to SPY with defined risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.46 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 785.94% | 11.49% | 2.33% | 3.36% | 0.66 | |
| 17,873.39% | 29.54% | 2.67% | -2.53% | 1.34 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,797,338.58Regulatory Fees
$4,602.67
Total Slippage
$40,772.15
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical etf rotation, rsi and trend filters, tech vs defensive tilt, inverse etf hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type