Bond Baller | 29% APY 18.8% Max DD | Jan 1 2007
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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About
All-in ETF switcher that flips among QQQ, XLP, XLK, or an ETF that moves opposite the S&P 500 (SH) using three checks: bond vs anti‑Nasdaq momentum, the S&P 500’s 200‑day trend, and whether Nasdaq is short‑term “oversold.”
- If long Treasuries (TLT) show stronger recent momentum than a fund that rises when Nasdaq falls (PSQ), buy QQQ (big tech).
- Otherwise, if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average, hold Consumer Staples (XLP).
- If SPY is below that trend, buy Tech (XLK) only if a simple up‑vs‑down score (RSI) shows Nasdaq is “washed out” (<30); else hold an ETF that moves opposite the S&P 500 (SH).
Out-of-sample, this rule-based ETF rotation offers diversification with lower beta (~0.73) and solid risk-adjusted performance: Sharpe 0.764, Calmar 0.652, 14.49% annualized vs SPY’s 19.58%, max drawdown 22.23% vs 18.76%.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.46 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717.91% | 11.25% | 9.27% | 4.88% | 0.64 | |
| 16,941.3% | 29.78% | 7.41% | 4.88% | 1.35 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,704,129.70Regulatory Fees
$5,573.22
Total Slippage
$37,449.95
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical etf rotation, rsi and trend filters, tech vs defensive tilt, inverse etf hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type