Bond Baller | 29% APY 18.8% Max DD | Jan 1 2007
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Own QQQ when Treasury strength beats the fear gauge (PSQ). Otherwise rotate to XLP, try XLK on oversold bounces, or hedge with SH. Two timeframes run in parallel and split the allocation. Bonds are signals only; holdings are QQQ/XLP/XLK/SH.
It runs two parallel checklists and splits money 50/50. For each: if Treasury bonds (TLT or IEF) look stronger (by RSI—a 0–100 recent‑strength gauge) than an ETF that rises when the Nasdaq falls (PSQ), buy QQQ (Nasdaq‑100). Else: if the S&P 500 is above its 200‑day average, hold XLP (consumer staples). If below trend but tech is washed out (RSI<30), buy XLK (tech). Otherwise hedge with SH (inverse S&P 500).
Two-sleeve, rules-based rotation among QQQ/XLK/XLP/SH using macro signals. Out-of-sample: Sharpe ~1.10, Calmar ~1.03, ~19.9% annualized vs SPY ~21.1%. Focused on risk-adjusted gains and regime resilience vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.51 | 0.24 | 0.49 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 688.5% | 11.12% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.64 | |
| 16,020.64% | 29.63% | 0.65% | 1.64% | 1.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,612,064.17Regulatory Fees
$4,385.24
Total Slippage
$29,479.45
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, momentum/rsi, sector rotation, inverse etfs, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks