Bond Baller | 29% APY 18.8% Max DD | Jan 1 2007
Today’s Change (Feb 10, 2026)
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About
Rule-based, risk-on/risk-off rotation. Own QQQ when Treasuries look strong vs “short Nasdaq.” Otherwise rotate to staples (XLP), oversold tech (XLK), or an inverse S&P hedge (SH) based on trend. Heavy tech/staples exposure.
It asks two questions: Are Treasury bond funds (TLT, IEF) showing stronger recent momentum than “short Nasdaq” (PSQ)? If yes, own QQQ (big tech). It blends two such tests. If not: If the S&P 500 (SPY) is in an uptrend, hold XLP (everyday‑goods stocks). If in a downtrend: if tech looks washed out, buy XLK (tech) for a bounce; otherwise hold SH (inverse S&P).
Risk-aware growth with lower beta and downside protection: OOS Sharpe ~1.10, Calmar ~1.03, ~19.9% OOS return vs SPY ~21.1%, max drawdown ~19.2% vs ~18.8%, powered by bond-led signals and disciplined tech/staples rotations.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.51 | 0.24 | 0.49 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 698.65% | 11.23% | -0.02% | 2.14% | 0.64 | |
| 16,105.1% | 29.77% | 4.97% | 4.12% | 1.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,620,510.47Regulatory Fees
$4,361.40
Total Slippage
$29,319.00
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical etf rotation,risk-on/risk-off,momentum (rsi),trend following (200-day),sector rotation,inverse etfs,bond-led signals
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks