Bond Baller | 29% APY 18.8% Max DD | Jan 1 2007
Today’s Change (Aug 7, 2026)
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About
Two signals compare bond strength to a bearish tech gauge. If strong, go QQQ. Else hold Staples in uptrends, buy Tech on deep oversold, or use an inverse S&P hedge. Final holding averages the two signals.
Two “voters” decide what to hold. Each asks: are US Treasury bond funds (TLT/IEF) showing more short‑term strength (via an RSI speedometer) than a bearish tech gauge (PSQ, inverse Nasdaq‑100)? If yes, buy QQQ (big tech). If not: if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day trend, hold XLP (Consumer Staples); if below and tech is very oversold (RSI<30), buy XLK (Tech); otherwise use SH (inverse S&P). The final holding averages the two votes.
Out-of-sample edge: ~18.9% annualized return with Calmar ~0.99 and Sharpe ~1.04 over 3 years. A regime-aware, two-voter system tilts to tech in strength, staples in uptrends, and hedges in drawdowns—growth with risk control vs. the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 0.51 | 0.24 | 0.49 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 789.23% | 11.54% | 2.3% | 5% | 0.66 | |
| 16,650.78% | 29.16% | -4.21% | -4.68% | 1.37 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,675,078.09Regulatory Fees
$3,849.16
Total Slippage
$34,046.01
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum + rsi, trend filter, sector rotation, inverse etfs, nasdaq/tech tilt, defensive hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks