(Bobo) Bulls, Bears, and Bonds
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rules-based “Bulls vs Bears vs Bonds” switcher: surf uptrends with 3x tech/market ETFs, hide in cash/defensives when shaky, short in panics, and rotate bonds (TMF/TLT vs TMV) using trend, momentum, volatility, and drawdown signals.
Daily, it measures: trend (price vs moving averages), recent speed (1–10 day gains/losses), choppiness/fear (volatility/VIX), and bond trend. Then it chooses a stance:
- Bulls: ride uptrends with 3x tech/market ETFs (TQQQ, TECL, SOXL, UPRO) or QQQ.
- Bears: short via inverse ETFs (SQQQ, SOXS, TECS, SPXU), use VIX funds (UVXY/VIXM), or go to defensives (UUP, GLD, XLP) or cash (SHV/BIL).
- Bonds: own TMF/TLT or the inverse TMV.
RSI = a 0–100 “hot/cold” score; high=overbought, low=oversold.
Dynamic, rules-based regime-switching strategy that rides uptrends and hedges fear with Bulls/Bears/Bonds rotations. Out-of-sample: 14.8% annualized return, Sharpe 0.89, Calmar 0.74, diversified hedges offer solid risk-adjusted performance vs SPY’s higher raw gain.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-switching, multi-asset, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, volatility hedging, bonds, trend/momentum, mean reversion
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 48 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks