Blend: V4 & V5 CFS + BBD, BHFEAR | BIL + V1a TQQQ or not - Replace UVXY w/ SOXS
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Aggressive, rules‑based blend that times 3x S&P 500/Nasdaq funds and long Treasuries. Buys big dips, runs a stocks–Treasuries barbell in calm uptrends, parks in T‑bills in turmoil, and sometimes bets on pullbacks with inverse semis. Tech/semis tilt.
Blends 3 daily “autopilots”: 25% cautious surfer, 25% surfer w/ bond signal, 50% “TQQQ‑or‑not.” Tools: UPRO=3x S&P500, TQQQ=3x Nasdaq‑100, SOXL/SOXS=3x semis long/short, TMF=3x long Treasuries, BIL=T‑bills. Rules: buy 3x stocks after ~‑5% weekly dips (unless a big 1‑day rebound), run a 55/45 stocks–Treasuries barbell when calm, hide in BIL when volatility spikes, and flip to SOXS if Nasdaq gets very “hot” (RSI=0–100 strength score).
Out-of-sample annualized return ~60% vs ~22% for the S&P, powered by a rules-based 3x equity/barbell with Treasuries and dip-buy triggers. Aims for outsized upside in regimes, with cash/treasury hedges to limit losses—an active alternative to the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.54 | 1.45 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 1,958,853.94% | 98.48% | -2.5% | 0.17% | 1.93 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$195,895,393.77Regulatory Fees
$422,269.10
Total Slippage
$2,989,010.76
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, momentum/rsi, dip buying, volatility filters, risk-on/risk-off, treasuries hedge, cash parking, tech/semiconductors, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks