Blend: V4 & V5 CFS + BBD, BHFEAR | BIL + TQQQ or not
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based blend that rides 3x stock funds in calm uptrends, pairs them with 3x long Treasuries, buys big dips, and otherwise sits in T‑Bills. It uses simple “thermometers” (volatility, trend, RSI, drawdown) and occasionally hedges with a volatility fund.
It splits your money into 3 parts (25%, 25%, 50%). Each part watches simple “thermometers” of the market: how bumpy it’s been (volatility), recent damage (peak‑to‑bottom drop), trend (above/below a 25‑day average), and a hot/cold meter (RSI: 0–100 scale of recent price strength).
When things look calm and trending up, it holds turbo stock funds (3x S&P 500 and/or 3x Nasdaq) and pairs them with 3x long‑term US Treasuries (a barbell for balance). When conditions look shaky, it parks in T‑Bills. After very sharp 5‑day drops, it may briefly buy the dip with those turbo stock funds. In rare, extreme moments (e.g., Nasdaq is extremely overheated or just snapped back), it may use a volatility fund for a short‑term hedge/trade.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~46.9% vs SPY’s ~22.3%, with a solid OOS Sharpe (~1.15) and Calmar ~1.06. A dynamic, rules-based mix of leverage, hedges, and cash aims for big upside in uptrends while controlling risk—though drawdowns can be larger.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.59 | 1.33 | 0.34 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 693.37% | 15.63% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.95 | |
| 3,322,121.74% | 107.55% | 4.77% | 10.47% | 2.1 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$332,222,173.51Regulatory Fees
$645,259.10
Total Slippage
$4,587,695.43
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 29, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, trend-following, mean reversion, risk-on/off, us equities, treasuries, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks