Blend: V4 & V5 CFS + BBD, BHFEAR | BIL + TQQQ or not
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, it switches among 3x stock funds (UPRO/TQQQ), 3x long Treasuries (TMF), and T‑bills (BIL) using trend, volatility, and “buy‑the‑dip” rules—aiming to ride rallies while stepping aside in rough markets.
Blends 3 parts: two “cautious surfing” models and a “TQQQ‑or‑not” timer. It rotates among 3x stock funds UPRO (S&P 500) and TQQQ (Nasdaq‑100), 3x long Treasuries TMF, and T‑bills BIL. Daily it checks trend, volatility, and recent drops in SPY/QQQ. In calm uptrends it runs ~55% stocks/45% bonds; when shaky it parks in BIL and only buys UPRO/TQQQ after ~5% 5‑day dips (unless a big same‑day bounce). A sub‑model times TQQQ, steps aside, or briefly hedges with UVXY. Leveraged = high risk.
Strap into a tactical, trend-driven, 3x leveraged rotation that rides rallies and shields during drawdowns. Out-of-sample results show substantially higher potential returns than the S&P 500, with built-in risk controls - yet it carries higher volatility and drawdown risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.58 | 1.34 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 3,139,248.02% | 105.44% | 2.74% | -5.76% | 2.07 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$313,934,801.98Regulatory Fees
$676,047.25
Total Slippage
$4,808,158.80
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 29, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, trend + mean reversion, volatility targeting, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks