Blend: V4 & V5 CFS + BBD, BHFEAR | BIL + TQQQ or not
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A very aggressive, rules-based strategy that tries to ride big stock upswings, buy some sharp dips, and retreat to Treasury bills when markets look dangerous.
This strategy checks the market every day and asks: are stocks calm, trending up, or in trouble?
When conditions look good, it buys aggressive stock funds tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq (UPRO, TQQQ). Sometimes it also adds a long-term Treasury fund (TMF).
When markets get shaky, it moves to short-term Treasury bills (BIL), and in extreme stress it may briefly use UVXY, a volatility trade.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~33% annualized returns vs ~20% for the S&P, by dynamically switching between 3x equities and Treasuries. Higher upside but larger drawdowns (~44% vs ~19%) and lower risk-adjusted Sharpe.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.54 | 1.37 | 0.36 | 0.6 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 786.38% | 15.6% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.95 | |
| 3,206,349.78% | 99.2% | -9.51% | -12.14% | 1.99 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$320,644,977.81Regulatory Fees
$700,188.03
Total Slippage
$6,656,827.67
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 29, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged equities, risk-on/risk-off, mean reversion, momentum, bond signals, volatility filter
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks