Blend: Total Market Hedged (V 1.0) & Fund Surfing v2.0a
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A 50/50, rule-driven blend of a hedged total-market approach and a momentum-driven Fund Surfing screen. It aims to capture upside while using volatility and defensive assets to cushion draws, using RSI and other momentum/risk signals to drive dynamic allocations across a wide universe of ETFs.
- The strategy combines two parts: Total Market Hedged (V1.0) and Fund Surfing v2.0a, each with its own rules, then blends them 50/50.
- Total Market Hedged uses layers of rules driven by momentum (RSI) and risk metrics to decide how much to allocate to broad-market exposure (SPY/QQQ and related leveraged ETFs) versus hedges (UVXY for volatility, UUP/GLD for defense). It tilts toward hedges when risk signals look high and toward growth assets when signals look favorable.
- Fund Surfing screens a set of funds/assets (SOXL, TECL, UPRO, SPY, SHY, DBC, DBA, etc.) using short-window RSI and other momentum checks. It selects a small number of assets with favorable momentum and assigns substantial weight to them, with a bias toward bottom- or top-performing candidates depending on the rule.
- The final portfolio is a blend of the two halves, designed to capture upside while reducing downside via hedges.
- Assets used include broad market proxies, leveraged ETFs, volatility hedges, dollar/gold hedges, and commodity/bond components to diversify risk.
- Rebalancing is driven by rule signals rather than fixed dates. The system expects to adjust weights as signals evolve, within the 50/50 framework and corridor, rather than on a strict calendar basis.
- Caveats: high complexity, reliance on timely data, possible high turnover, and elevated risk due to the use of leveraged ETFs and volatility products.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~49% annualized returns vs ~23% for the S&P 500, with a risk-managed blend that reduces downside via hedges. Higher upside potential, but expect larger drawdowns in stressed markets.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 25, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 25%
Type
Stocks
Category
Quantitative strategy, multi-strategy, momentum/hedging, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 19 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks