Blend: Total Market Hedged (V 1.0) & Fund Surfing
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A 50/50 tactical blend of a hedged total-market approach and a Fund Surfing selector. Uses layered rules (RSI, volatility hedges, max drawdown, moving averages) to tilt between hedges (UUP, GLD, UVXY) and leveraged/tech ETFs (QQQ, SPY, TQQQ, SOXL, TECL, etc.), aiming to boost returns while controlling risk. The system blends two strategies and relies on conditional logic rather than a single indicator.
What you’re looking at is a 50/50 split between two rule-based approaches. One side tries to hold market exposure but with built-in hedges so you don’t get crushed in a big drop. The other side scouts a group of popular ETFs and levered/short products and tilts toward the ones that look cheapest or strongest by a few technical/tests (RSI and related risk checks). The decision tree is layered:
- Layer 1 (Black Swan): uses RSI on volatility-related assets to detect stressed markets and tilt toward hedges or safer bets.
- Layer 2 (Hedged Bull/Bear): weighs hedges like UUP (dollar), GLD (gold), and volatility products to manage risk depending on measurements such as max drawdown, standard deviation, and moving-average signals.
- Layer 3/4 (QQQ Bull, Bear Market, and Vol Hedge): refines positions into defensive/aggressive clusters (e.g., QQQ-based bullish posture, bear-market hedges, and standard volatility hedges).
- Fund Surfing: selects from a basket of funds (semiconductors, tech, broad-market, and some levered plays) using a ranking by RSI with a bottom-selection rule and a fixed weight, then blends back with the hedged core.
Final blend: the two symphonies are averaged 50/50 to produce the final allocation; rebalancing happens with a very loose corridor (0.1) but is not automatically triggered in the given setup. In plain terms, you’re pairing a cautious, hedged core with a dynamic, signal-driven satellite that tries to ride trends in popular ETFs while protecting you when volatility spikes.
Out-of-sample, this strategy aims for roughly 46% annualized return vs SPY’s ~22%, with solid risk-adjusted metrics (Sharpe ~1.17, Calmar ~0.83). It blends hedges and trend tilts to pursue bigger upside while offering risk controls. Watch for larger drawdowns.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 22, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-strategy, tactical asset allocation, hedging, volatility management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks