Blend: Regime Switching
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A 50/50 blend of trend-following and hedged tactics: ride uptrends with QQQ/SPY, buy dips selectively, and switch to staples, Treasuries, cash, shorts, or volatility hedges when markets weaken.
Half uses a trend rule: if SPY is above its 200‑day average, go risk‑on (QQQ/SPY). If not, go defensive (staples, Treasuries, cash) or short tech. The other half adds crash hedges: buy volatility on stress and park in T‑bills; occasionally tilt to oil or the US dollar. RSI is a “stretch” meter (high=hot, low=washed‑out). Key ETFs: QQQ=big tech; QID/PSQ=short QQQ; XLP=defensive; TLT/SHY=Tre’s; BIL=T‑bills; UVXY=volatility; DBO=oil; UUP=US$.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers ~33.6% annualized return with Sharpe ~1.45 and Calmar ~1.56, beating the S&P’s ~23.2% return and ~1.37 Sharpe, while offering built-in hedges for stronger upside with controlled risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33 | 0.62 | 0.22 | 0.47 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620.2% | 14.76% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 31,841.85% | 49.49% | 1.78% | -2.6% | 1.93 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,194,185.40Regulatory Fees
$8,197.36
Total Slippage
$51,915.51
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 28, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 25%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, trend following, tactical allocation, volatility hedge, leveraged/inverse etfs, us equities, treasuries, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 19 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks