Blend: Regime Switching
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A 50/50 blend that rides stock uptrends, buys dips in Nasdaq, and turns on hedges in panics. Uses leveraged and inverse ETFs plus cash, bonds, oil, and the US dollar to balance growth with drawdown protection.
Splits money 50/50 into two playbooks.
A) Simple: If the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average, ride US growth (Nasdaq via QQQ/2x QLD) and buy dips. If below, shift to defense (XLP), sometimes add a small Nasdaq short (QID), and only buy quick rebounds when a 0–100 “heat” gauge is very low.
B) Hedged: If fear spikes, use crash hedges (UVXY or PSQ/BSV). Otherwise a core flips risk‑on/off, buys Nasdaq dips (TQQQ), and holds oil (DBO) or cash‑like T‑Bills (BIL).
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers higher risk-adjusted returns than the S&P: ~33.6% annualized vs 23.2%, Sharpe ~1.45 vs 1.37, Calmar ~1.56. It blends regime-switching with hedges to pursue bigger upside while managing risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33 | 0.62 | 0.22 | 0.47 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 31,019.91% | 49.08% | 0.55% | 0.72% | 1.91 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,111,991.21Regulatory Fees
$8,293.07
Total Slippage
$52,542.32
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 28, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 25%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, trend following, hedged, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 19 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks