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Black Swan Catcher.SPY.Std.Dev
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

Sits in a T‑bill fund most of the time. If the S&P 500’s very short‑term volatility spikes above a high bar, it switches 100% into UVXY to try to profit from market panics, then goes back to T‑bills when conditions calm.
NutHow it works
It checks how bumpy the S&P 500 (via SPY) has been over the last 2 days. If that short‑term volatility jumps above a high threshold, it moves 100% into UVXY, a fund tied to market “fear” that can surge in panics. Otherwise it stays in BIL, a cash‑like T‑bill fund. No routine rebalancing; it trades only when the signal flips. Note: UVXY is extremely volatile and tends to lose value quickly outside of crashes.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~23% annualized return with only ~3% max drawdown vs S&P 500's ~19% drawdown, negative beta, and Calmar ~7. It stays mostly in cash, capturing crash upside while reducing risk.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 5, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tail-risk hedge, crash-capture, volatility spike trading, tactical, cash/t-bills, vix futures (uvxy)
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 3 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"Black Swan Catcher.SPY.Std.Dev" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"Black Swan Catcher.SPY.Std.Dev" is currently allocated toBIL. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "Black Swan Catcher.SPY.Std.Dev" has returned 21.06%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "Black Swan Catcher.SPY.Std.Dev" is 3.23%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "Black Swan Catcher.SPY.Std.Dev", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.