Black Swan Catcher.SPY.Std.Dev
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Sits in a T‑bill fund most of the time. If the S&P 500’s very short‑term volatility spikes above a high bar, it switches 100% into UVXY to try to profit from market panics, then goes back to T‑bills when conditions calm.
It checks how bumpy the S&P 500 (via SPY) has been over the last 2 days. If that short‑term volatility jumps above a high threshold, it moves 100% into UVXY, a fund tied to market “fear” that can surge in panics. Otherwise it stays in BIL, a cash‑like T‑bill fund. No routine rebalancing; it trades only when the signal flips. Note: UVXY is extremely volatile and tends to lose value quickly outside of crashes.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers higher annualized return (~23% vs 18%), far lower drawdown (~3.2% vs 18.8%), and a strong Calmar ratio. Mostly in cash, it only deploys to capture volatility panics—delivering better risk-adjusted growth than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.17 | -0.33 | 0.06 | -0.25 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716.72% | 15.58% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.95 | |
| 353.21% | 10.98% | 0.32% | 0.87% | 0.57 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$45,321.05Regulatory Fees
$6.12
Total Slippage
$42.87
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 5, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tail-risk hedge, crash-capture, volatility spike trading, tactical, cash/t-bills, vix futures (uvxy)