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Black Swan Catcher (SPY)
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

Mostly parks in cash-like Treasuries. In sharp selloffs it buys an oversold tech bounce; in overheated markets it may buy volatility (UVXY) if vol shows strength. Uses simple 0–100 heat gauges (RSI) and SPY’s 1‑month drop to switch.
NutHow it works
Looks at SPY’s ~1‑month drop and a simple 0–100 heat gauge (RSI; high=hot, low=cold) on TQQQ or SPY. If SPY fell >10%: buy a tech bounce (TECL, a 3x tech fund) only when tech is very cold; otherwise use volatility (VIXM) or T‑bills (BIL). If no big drop: sit in T‑bills (SHV) unless stocks look too hot; then, if volatility itself is firm, buy UVXY (a vol fund that jumps when markets fall). Rebalances daily.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: 27.6% vs 16.2% return, only ~4.2% max drawdown vs 18.8% for SPY, Calmar 6.61, Sharpe ~0.90. Mostly cash with selective tech bounce or volatility bets - less risk, strong upside vs S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.310.0500.03
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
595.56%14.7%-0.15%0.4%0.91
6,123.84%33.92%0.26%0.87%1.21
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$622,383.57
Regulatory Fees
$397.94
Total Slippage
$2,622.18
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 10, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility-timing, crash-protection, tactical-allocation, leveraged-etfs, mean-reversion, risk-off-cash
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"Black Swan Catcher (SPY)" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"Black Swan Catcher (SPY)" is currently allocated toSHV. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "Black Swan Catcher (SPY)" has returned 25.96%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "Black Swan Catcher (SPY)" is 4.17%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "Black Swan Catcher (SPY)", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.