Black Swan Catcher (SPY)
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A very defensive, crash-focused strategy that usually parks in short-term Treasuries, but during extremes it either bets on a tech rebound after a selloff or on a jump in market fear.
This strategy checks the market every day.
If the overall U.S. stock market has fallen hard over the past month, it either: (1) bets on a sharp rebound in tech stocks, or (2) hides in safer assets or a fear-based volatility fund.
If the market has not crashed, it usually sits in short-term Treasuries. It only makes a fear/volatility bet when stocks look unusually overheated.
Out-of-sample: 17.39% annualized vs 14.91% S&P, far lower drawdown (6.8% vs 18.8%), lower beta (0.66) and positive alpha (~0.09%), Calmar 2.57. A defensive, volatility-aware strategy with stronger risk-adjusted returns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.03 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 684.54% | 14.91% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.93 | |
| 6,075.88% | 32.08% | 0.33% | 0.91% | 1.18 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$617,588.36Regulatory Fees
$433.12
Total Slippage
$3,618.45
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 10, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Crash strategy, volatility trading, leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, mean reversion, defensive cash
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks