Black Swan Catcher Combos V2.0
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily-rotating, multi-regime strategy that jumps between leveraged equity bets and volatility/defense hedges. It uses momentum/return signals and price-maction rules to pick one asset from a big ETF universe, then allocates 100% to that asset, rebalancing each day depending on market regime indicators.
- The system screens a broad universe of ETFs (mostly leveraged stock ETFs, volatility products, and some bond/cash proxies).
- It organizes signals into regime blocks (examples: Black Swan Catcher, QQQ Pop Bot, Defense, Bear Market, and various risk-off groups).
- Each block evaluates a mix of momentum-style metrics (e.g., moving-average returns, cumulative returns, price relative to moving averages) and price-action checks (e.g., is the asset trading above/below its exponential moving average).
- Within a block, assets are ranked using a specific rule (often selecting the top or bottom asset by a chosen metric) and a single asset is chosen to buy with full allocation (weight 100/100).
- The blocks are nested with if/else logic, so the overall decision can switch between different regimes depending on current signals. Some branches look for extremely overbought/oversold signals in SPY, UVXY, or other proxies and then pivot to hedges (e.g., UVXY, VIX proxies, SQQQ, SPXS, TMV, TMF).
- Rebalancing happens daily, meaning the chosen asset can change every trading day based on the latest signals.
- The design favors a dynamic, regime-aware approach rather than a static long-only or simple trend-following strategy. It leans into leverage when risk appetite is inferred to be high, and into hedging or safe-duration assets when risk appears elevated.
- Important caveats for a layperson: this strategy uses highly leveraged instruments which can magnify losses as well as gains; it’s sensitive to rapid regime shifts and may produce frequent turnover. Liquidity and trading costs for some of the more exotic ETFs can also affect real-world performance. Always ensure you understand the instrument exposure before implementing such a system.
Offers dramatically better risk-adjusted performance than the S&P. Out-of-sample: Sharpe ~19, Calmar ~358, max drawdown ~1.1% vs SPY ~5%, and near-zero beta due to daily regime-rotations between leveraged bets and hedges.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.86 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.04 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 281.74% | 13.26% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.79 | |
| 418,406.31% | 117.1% | 0.26% | 0.86% | 1.8 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$41,850,631.02Regulatory Fees
$17,905.83
Total Slippage
$124,397.03
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 13, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, volatility hedges, regime trading, momentum/mean-reversion, multi-asset rotation, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 46 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
EPI
WisdomTree India Earnings Fund ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
EUO
ProShares UltraShort Euro
Stocks