Bitcoin Strategy | Dereck Nielsen
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical Bitcoin plan that rotates among BITO (long), BITI (short), and cash‑like T‑bills based on market health, recent speed of Bitcoin’s moves, short‑term trend, and sharp‑drop signals; sometimes adds a hedge plus two fast‑moving crypto stocks.
It trades Bitcoin mainly through BITO (a Bitcoin futures ETF). It watches: 1) the stock market’s health (SPY vs its 200‑day trend), 2) how “hot” or “cold” Bitcoin’s recent moves are, 3) short‑term trends and sharp drops. It shifts between BITO, its inverse (BITI), cash‑like T‑bills (SHV/BSV), and sometimes mixes a hedge with two fast‑moving crypto stocks.
Goal: ride uptrends, sidestep big drops, and occasionally short overbought spikes.
Dynamic Bitcoin strategy uses regime filters, hedges, and tactical crypto exposure to seek strong risk-adjusted returns. Out-of-sample Calmar ~2.56 and Sharpe ~1.13 offer diversification and upside beyond the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.42 | 0.57 | 0.04 | 0.21 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105.55% | 20.06% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 1.2 | |
| 437.78% | 53.25% | -6.35% | 1.51% | 1.17 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$53,778.23Regulatory Fees
$334.48
Total Slippage
$1,960.83
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 6, 2026
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto, bitcoin, tactical allocation, momentum, mean‑reversion, trend filter, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BITI
ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
BITQ
Bitwise Crypto Industry Innovators ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
HUT
Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock
Stocks
KEEL
Keel Infrastructure Corp. Common Stock
Stocks
MARA
MARA Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
RIOT
Riot Platforms, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks