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Bitcoin Strategy by Derecknielsen (Under Construction)
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

Bitcoin‑centric, one‑position strategy. If stocks trend up, buy MSTR. If not, use Bitcoin’s short‑term trend/momentum to pick either short Bitcoin (BITI) or defensive bond plays (BSV/TBT). Signals checked daily.
NutHow it works
Each day it rotates among a few funds/stocks using simple signals. If the US market (SPY) trends up (price above its 200‑day average), it buys MSTR (MicroStrategy, a Bitcoin‑heavy company). Otherwise it uses Bitcoin (BITO) as a gauge. If BITO is weak (below its 15‑day average), it holds the strongest of BITI (short Bitcoin), BSV (short‑term bonds), or TBT (inverse long Treasuries) by 10‑day RSI (0–100 recent‑strength score). If BITO’s RSI>59, use BITI; else MSTR.
CheckmarkValue prop
Bitcoin-driven alpha with a tactical risk framework. Out-of-sample return 26% vs SPY’s 21% via MSTR and nimble hedges. Higher upside, but larger drawdowns (≈85%) and beta (≈1.53) vs SPY.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 30, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto, bitcoin, tactical rotation, trend/momentum, risk-on/off, inverse etfs, bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BITI
ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
MSTR
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TBT
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toMSTR. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 21.37%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 89.57%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.