Bitcoin Strategies
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Equal‑weights two daily‑rebalanced systems that use Bitcoin ETFs (GBTC, BITO) as signals. When Bitcoin strength is confirmed, it buys 3x stock ETFs (SPXL, TQQQ) or sits in T‑Bills (BIL). A second branch may short stocks (SPXS) when Bitcoin pops. High risk.
Split in two. A) Bitcoin trackers GBTC/BITO act as signals. If they trend up (price>20‑day avg; 10‑day>20‑day; 100‑day>300‑day; 50‑day return>0) and are not overheated (RSI<75; RSI = speed‑of‑gains), buy SPXL (3x S&P 500) and TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100); else hold BIL (T‑bills). B) If BITO rose 5 days: if stocks stronger than bonds (RSI SPY>SHY) short stocks with SPXS (3x inverse S&P 500), else BIL. Otherwise, if 21‑day BITO up buy SPXL, else BIL. Rebalance daily.
Out-of-sample, this BTC‑informed strategy earns ~23.7% annualized return vs ~20.6% for the S&P 500, with a sharper risk profile (Sharpe ~1.43 vs ~1.22) and smaller drawdowns (~13.8% vs ~18.8%), plus a strong Calmar (~1.72).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 0.3 | 0.09 | 0.3 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86.88% | 21.83% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 1.38 | |
| 197.97% | 41.17% | 0.27% | 4.37% | 2.4 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$29,796.81Regulatory Fees
$86.58
Total Slippage
$540.78
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto signal-driven equity timing, cross-asset momentum, trend following, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks