Bitcoin Strategies
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, bitcoin-guided switch that buys leveraged stock ETFs (SPXL/TQQQ) when bitcoin’s trend is strong and not overheated, parks in T-bills (BIL) otherwise, and sometimes adds a bearish S&P bet (SPXS) via a simple stocks-vs-bonds check.
Each day it reads two bitcoin trackers (GBTC = spot ETF, BITO = futures ETF). It checks trend (price vs recent averages) and whether the move is too hot (RSI: a 0–100 “speedometer”; high = overheated). If bitcoin’s trend looks strong and not overheated, it buys aggressive stock funds: SPXL (S&P 500) and/or TQQQ (Nasdaq‑100). If not, it holds BIL (T‑bills). A side rule may short the S&P (SPXS) or buy SPXL based on a simple stocks‑vs‑bonds strength check.
Out-of-sample, this Bitcoin-driven strategy beats the S&P on risk-adjusted returns: ~23.7% annualized vs 20.6%; max drawdown ~13.8% vs 18.8%; Sharpe ~1.43 vs ~1.22. Higher upside with disciplined cash/leveraged exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 0.3 | 0.09 | 0.3 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82.97% | 20.76% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.32 | |
| 194.62% | 40.13% | -0.98% | 3.06% | 2.36 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$29,461.87Regulatory Fees
$88.35
Total Slippage
$552.64
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Bitcoin-driven signals, trend following, momentum, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, equities, inverse etf, cash/t-bills, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks