Bitcoin Strategies
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, bitcoin-guided switch that buys leveraged stock ETFs (SPXL/TQQQ) when bitcoin’s trend is strong and not overheated, parks in T-bills (BIL) otherwise, and sometimes adds a bearish S&P bet (SPXS) via a simple stocks-vs-bonds check.
Each day it reads two bitcoin trackers (GBTC = spot ETF, BITO = futures ETF). It checks trend (price vs recent averages) and whether the move is too hot (RSI: a 0–100 “speedometer”; high = overheated). If bitcoin’s trend looks strong and not overheated, it buys aggressive stock funds: SPXL (S&P 500) and/or TQQQ (Nasdaq‑100). If not, it holds BIL (T‑bills). A side rule may short the S&P (SPXS) or buy SPXL based on a simple stocks‑vs‑bonds strength check.
Out-of-sample, this bitcoin-driven strategy beats the S&P 500 on risk-adjusted return and downside protection: Sharpe ~1.43 vs ~1.22, annualized return ~23.7% vs ~20.6%, max drawdown ~13.8% vs ~18.8%, Calmar ~1.72. More upside, less risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.26 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.31 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.23% | 22.36% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 1.4 | |
| 177.61% | 36.39% | -5.77% | -3.81% | 2.14 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$27,761.16Regulatory Fees
$90.78
Total Slippage
$567.77
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Bitcoin-driven signals, trend following, momentum, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, equities, inverse etf, cash/t-bills, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks