Bitcoin Strategies
Today’s Change (Nov 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A high-risk trading system that uses Bitcoin-related funds as signals to jump into leveraged U.S. stock funds, move to cash-like Treasuries, or occasionally bet against the S&P 500.
This strategy does not buy Bitcoin directly. Instead, it watches two Bitcoin-related funds—GBTC and BITO—as a market “mood signal.”
If Bitcoin looks strong but not overheated, it buys aggressive stock funds: SPXL (a 3x bet on the S&P 500) or TQQQ (a 3x bet on the Nasdaq). If the signal weakens, it moves to BIL, a very short-term Treasury fund that acts like a cash parking spot. A smaller side rule sometimes buys SPXS, which profits when the S&P 500 falls.
Out-of-sample edge: 21.22% annualized vs SPY 18.83%; Sharpe 1.34 vs 1.18; max drawdown 13.78% vs 18.76%; Calmar 1.54; alpha ~0.16; beta ~0.27. GBTC/BITO signals time leveraged equities and cash—higher risk-adjusted gains, no direct crypto.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.27 | 0.26 | 0.07 | 0.26 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101.5% | 19.99% | -5.4% | -4.54% | 1.29 | |
| 232.95% | 36.73% | -0.26% | 3.31% | 2.18 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$33,295.34Regulatory Fees
$93.19
Total Slippage
$685.32
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Bitcoin-signals, leveraged-equities, tactical-allocation, trend-following, risk-off-cash
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks