Bitcoin Hot Potato Rotator (Daily/Weekly) | HTX
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A weekly, all‑in switcher. If Bitcoin’s short‑term trend weakens, buy the most recently sold‑off choice among Bitcoin, gold, commodities, or the U.S. dollar. Otherwise, own the stronger of Bitcoin or the U.S. dollar based on medium‑term momentum.
Each week:
• If GBTC’s 5‑day average is below its 20‑day average (Bitcoin cooling), buy 100% of the single fund with the lowest 11‑day RSI (low = recently fell) among: GBTC (Bitcoin), GLD (gold), PDBC (broad commodities), USDU (long U.S. dollar).
• Otherwise, buy 100% of the stronger of GBTC or USDU by 85‑day trend (price vs 85‑day average).
Out-of-sample annualized return ~20.5% with Calmar ~0.66. Captures upside in uptrends via crypto/alternatives and rotates to defenses in drawdowns. Potentially higher returns than the S&P, but with higher volatility and ~30.9% max drawdown.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.79 | 0.64 | 0.03 | 0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 318.32% | 14.64% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.85 | |
| 97,372.03% | 92.89% | -0.4% | -11.29% | 1.3 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$9,747,203.02Regulatory Fees
$14,023.75
Total Slippage
$94,011.16
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 12, 2024
Trading Setting
Weekly
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto rotation, trend filter, mean reversion, tactical allocation, weekly rebalance, momentum, alternatives
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 4 assets in total