Bitcoin Hot Potato Rotator (Daily/Weekly) | HTX
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Weekly, decide if Bitcoin is trending up or down. In uptrends, hold the stronger of Bitcoin (GBTC) or the U.S. dollar (USDU). In downtrends, buy the most “oversold” of Bitcoin, gold (GLD), commodities (PDBC), or the dollar to try for a rebound.
Each week it checks Bitcoin’s trend using GBTC: is the 5‑day average price below the 20‑day average? If yes (downtrend), buy whichever of GBTC (Bitcoin), GLD (gold), PDBC (broad commodities), or USDU (long U.S. dollar) has the lowest 11‑day RSI—a “how sold‑off” score (low = beaten down). If no (uptrend), pick GBTC or USDU based on the stronger ~4‑month return.
Out-of-sample edge: ~20.5% annualized return vs ~19.8% for the S&P, using a simple regime-based rotation that captures BTC upside and hedges downturns with gold, USD, and commodities. Note: higher drawdowns than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | 0.64 | 0.03 | 0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309.57% | 14.35% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.84 | |
| 92,337.98% | 91.49% | 2.34% | -9.25% | 1.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$9,243,798.43Regulatory Fees
$14,287.81
Total Slippage
$95,850.93
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 12, 2024
Trading Setting
Weekly
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto rotation, trend filter, mean reversion, gold, commodities, us dollar, weekly rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 4 assets in total