Bitcoin Cycle Bot - mild manual labor | Deez | 8JUL2023
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A two-layer, cycle-driven strategy: ride Bitcoin-cycle exposure in a crypto stock/miner basket, while using a momentum-based DeETF overlay (RSI-based hedges or levered equity bets) to manage market mood. Assets include MSTR, COIN, MARA, HUT, BITF, RIOT, BIL, plus selective VIXM/levered ETFs and a 3-stock big-cap basket.
Two-part system: 1) Bitcoin-cycle rotation: during each four-year Bitcoin phase, allocate to a crypto basket (MSTR, COIN, MARA, HUT, BITF, RIOT) and cash (BIL) with fixed weights per cycle; this module aims to capture Bitcoin-related upside. 2) Nasdaq-X DeETF overlay: when not in crypto mode, use SPY RSI(14) to tilt exposure. If RSI > 77, buy VIXM (volatility hedge). If RSI < 30, lean into 3x levered bets (TECL, TNA, SPXL) with small weights. Otherwise, pick the top 3 big-cap names from a list (MSFT, AAPL, GOOGL, NVDA, TSLA, etc.) ranked by a momentum rule over ~46 days and allocate 90% among those three. Rebalancing is limited by a corridor (0.1) and can be none, so allocations aren’t frequently drifted. The strategy is implemented as a set of groups with explicit asset lists and weights for different cycles (nov 2021–22, nov 2022–25, nov 2026–29, nov 2030–33) and “BTC Roths/Deez” variants that adjust weights, always with a crypto-basket core and a momentum overlay around it.
Out-of-sample, this strategy captures Bitcoin-cycle upside with a momentum overlay, delivering ~62% annualized return vs ~21% for the S&P and a Calmar ~1.55. It offers diversification but with higher drawdowns (~40%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 1.99 | 0.34 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.03% | 11.82% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.74 | |
| 220.95% | 26.82% | 7.49% | -1.68% | 0.7 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$32,095.41Regulatory Fees
$4.62
Total Slippage
$27.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto-cycle, momentum, multi-asset, cycle-based, rule-based
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 31 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMGN
Amgen Inc
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITF
Bitfarms Ltd. Common Stock
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
Stocks
GD
General Dynamics Corporation
Stocks