Bitcoin Cycle Bot - mild manual labor | Deez | 8JUL2023
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Cycles between crypto‑proxy stocks and a momentum/defensive stock sleeve based on Bitcoin’s 4‑year rhythm, using the S&P 500’s RSI to hedge when overheated and to add a small leveraged tilt when deeply oversold.
It times the Bitcoin 4‑year cycle. Years 1–3: about 80% in Bitcoin‑proxy stocks (MSTR, COIN, miners) plus some T‑bills (BIL), 20% in a rules‑based stock sleeve. Year 4: flip those weights. The stock sleeve reads the S&P 500’s RSI (a 0–100 “hot/cold” meter). If very hot (>77) it parks in VIXM (a volatility hedge). If normal, it owns the 3 strongest big stocks; if very cold (<30) it also adds a small 3× bull ETF tilt (TECL/TNA/SPXL).
Times Bitcoin cycles with a momentum/defense equity sleeve to chase outsized gains. Out-of-sample returns ~62% vs SPY ~21% annually, with Calmar ~1.55 and Sharpe ~1.15. Higher drawdowns than SPY, but tactical hedges aim to protect during heat.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 1.99 | 0.34 | 0.58 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77.2% | 12.45% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.77 | |
| 225.58% | 27.39% | 7.49% | -7.08% | 0.71 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$32,558.48Regulatory Fees
$4.62
Total Slippage
$27.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Bitcoin cycle timing, momentum rotation, volatility hedge, leveraged etfs, large-cap tech/defense, crypto proxies
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 31 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMGN
Amgen Inc
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITF
Bitfarms Ltd. Common Stock
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
Stocks
GD
General Dynamics Corporation
Stocks