Bitcoin Cycle Bot - mild manual labor | Deez | 8JUL2023
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A Bitcoin‑cycle‑timed portfolio: Years 1–3 lean 80% into Bitcoin‑sensitive stocks and 20% into a momentum stock sleeve with safety/boost rules; in Year 4, flip the weights. Uses an S&P “heat gauge” to hedge or take small tactical shots.
It times the Bitcoin 4‑year cycle.
• Years 1–3: 80% goes to Bitcoin‑linked stocks (MicroStrategy, Coinbase, and BTC miners), with ~20% of that bucket parked in T‑Bills (BIL). 20% goes to a rotating stock sleeve that holds the 3 strongest big names by recent strength.
• That sleeve uses an RSI “heat gauge” on the S&P 500: if very hot, it parks in a volatility fund (VIXM); if very cold, it adds a small stake in 3× bull funds (TECL/TNA/SPXL).
• Year 4: flip those weights (80% to the stock sleeve, 20% to Bitcoin‑linked stocks).
Out-of-sample: Bitcoin-cycle tilt targets outsized upside—~62% annualized vs SPY ~21%—with tactical hedges. Higher drawdowns, but Calmar ~1.55 and alpha ~0.24 suggest stronger risk-adjusted upside vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 1.99 | 0.34 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.49% | 11.87% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.74 | |
| 225.2% | 27.13% | 8.91% | 1.47% | 0.7 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$32,520.13Regulatory Fees
$4.62
Total Slippage
$27.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Bitcoin cycle timing, crypto proxies, momentum rotation, mega-cap tech, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 31 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMGN
Amgen Inc
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITF
Bitfarms Ltd. Common Stock
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
Stocks
GD
General Dynamics Corporation
Stocks