BIL vs BND
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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About
Uses a 60‑day bonds‑vs‑cash test (BND vs BIL) to switch between risk‑on and safe‑haven. Risk‑on holds TQQQ unless QQQ is extremely “hot,” then it moves to UVXY. Safe‑haven keeps ~60% cash and rotates ~40% into the 4 strongest defensive assets.
60‑day test: if BND (US bonds) beat BIL (cash‑like T‑bills) → risk‑on; else → safe‑haven.
Risk‑on: Check QQQ (big‑tech) 10‑day RSI (0–100 “heat”). If >80, hold UVXY (rises with fear); else TQQQ (3× QQQ).
Safe‑haven: Keep ~60% cash. Put ~40% in the top 4 (30‑day) from: UUP (US$), TMF (3× long Treasuries), DBC (commodities), UGL (2× gold), IEO (oil & gas), XLU (utilities), VIXM (volatility), TMV (3× short Treasuries).
Rebalance only on ~5% drift.
Similar upside to the S&P 500 (about 26% annualized) but with built‑in hedges and multi‑asset diversification. A dynamic risk‑on/risk‑off framework that shifts between leveraged tech exposure and defensive assets to navigate regime shifts.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 25, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, momentum, trend, leveraged etfs, volatility, bonds vs cash, safe-haven rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
IEO
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks