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BIL Beater
Today’s Change

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About

Daily switches between CAOS (tail‑risk ETF) and BIL (T‑bills). If CAOS rose >~2% over the past 7 days, shift to BIL; otherwise stay in CAOS. Tries to capture volatility spikes and park in cash after a pop, but may lag in calm markets.
NutHow it works
Two ETFs: BIL = cash-like 1–3 month T‑bills; CAOS = a “tail risk” fund that usually drifts down but jumps in market panics. Each day it checks CAOS’s 7‑day return. If CAOS is up more than about 2% over the last week, it moves 100% into BIL. Otherwise, it holds 100% in CAOS.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge with clear risk control: Sharpe 3.15, Calmar 9.7, max drawdown <0.5%, and ~4.7% annualized return. Lower downside and steadier risk-adjusted gains versus the S&P 500, powered by simple CAOS/BIL daily switching.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
Alpha
Beta
R2
R
0.09
0
0
0.01
Performance Metrics
Cumulative Return
Annualized Return
Trailing 1M Return
Trailing 3M Return
Sharpe Ratio
75.88%
23.5%
-1.67%
2.89%
1.45
27.48%
9.5%
0.98%
2.48
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,747.70
Regulatory Fees
$4.92
Total Slippage
$32.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 13, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility timing, tail-risk, tactical allocation, cash alternative, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type