[BETA] V0.1 | Minimal Momentum Mean Reversion LETFs with Black Swan Catcher Minimal | DJKeyhole 🧙‍♂️ | Use V1 Tech LETFs For The Long Term Minimal
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A beta system that tries to ride momentum and mean reversion in a single leveraged tech ETF at a time, with UVXY-based volatility protection. It uses short-term RSI and moving-average checks to pick the best candidate (from a set of tech LETFs), allocates 100% to that asset, and avoids frequent rebalancing through a small corridor. A volatility hedge (UVXY) can trigger protective paths to guard against crashes. Not financial advice; levered ETFs are highly volatile and require thorough testing.
- What it tries to do: pick a single leveraged tech ETF to own, using short-term momentum plus a mean-reversion check, with a volatility-based safety net. Then it allocates 100% to that chosen ETF and avoids frequent trading. It also includes a volatility-triggered safety path to guard against “black swan” events.
- The asset universe: a set of tech-focused LETFs (for example TQQQ, SOXL, UPRO, SPXL) plus inverse or hedging versions (SQQQ, SOXS) and risk/volatility assets (UVXY) and a treasury hedge (TLT). The goal is to capture upside when momentum looks favorable, while having fallbacks if volatility spikes.
- Signals and decisions (in plain terms): the rules look at short-term momentum indicators (RSI) and recent performance (over the last few days) to rank assets. They also check whether the current price is riding above its long-term average (a basic trend filter) and whether recent returns support a mean-reversion kind of improvement. The system then selects the strongest asset by these criteria and assigns it a full 100% weight.
- The “Black Swan Catcher”: UVXY (volatility) is monitored. If UVXY becomes very strong (its momentum signal crosses a high threshold) and other related conditions are met, the strategy can pull back from aggressive longs or favor hedges, to avoid being crushed by a volatility spike.
- Rebalancing and stability: there is a corridor width (0.24) that constrains how often the portfolio can shift out of its current position, and the top-level rebalance command is set to none, meaning changes aren’t made on a fixed schedule but only when the signals clearly justify them.
- What you end up owning: a single LETF at a time (100% of capital) chosen by the momentum/mean-reversion logic, with built-in volatility protection. This is designed for longer-term use with minimal trading, but it relies on leveraged instruments, so risk is high and results depend on the thresholds chosen.
Out-of-sample shows ~70% annualized return vs SPY ~22%, Calmar ~1.30, and Sharpe ~1.15. A 100% long tech LETF with UVXY hedge and selective rebalancing targets big upside with lower turnover than the market.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 1,844,381,271.25% | 220.17% | -0.39% | -2.36% | 2.09 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$184,438,137,125.19Regulatory Fees
$204,643,623.28
Total Slippage
$1,390,114,249.06
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 27, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 24%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, momentum, mean reversion, black swan risk catcher, quantitative signal processing, tech exposure
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks