Beta Baller_Wil's Mix
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, RSI-driven mix that rotates between cash, leveraged tech/semis bets (SOXL/TECL), and bear hedges (SOXS/SQQQ) using bond signals to gauge risk, aiming to ride uptrends and reduce drawdowns through tactical risk-on/risk-off shifts.
- Purpose: try to capture market upside with cautious risk management by rotating between cash, leveraged equity bets, and hedges.
- Signals used: momentum via RSI (lookback windows around 5, 7, 10, 14 days) and relative strength comparisons between bond proxies and equity proxies.
- Core decision gates: (1) bond-relations check (IEF>IBTK and SHY>SBND) to set the broad regime; (2) RSI comparisons (eg SHY vs SPHB, BIL vs VGIT) to fine-tune tilt; (3) momentum screening to pick top levered long assets (SOXL, TECL) or contrarian shorts (SOXS, SQQQ) when specific oversold conditions appear.
- What gets invested: when signals are favorable, allocate to levered equity bets (SOXL or TECL) or, under oversold regimes confirmed by bond signals, to bear ETFs; otherwise, hold cash. Daily rebalance governs distribution changes.
- Risk controls: use of bond proxies to avoid riding a purely equity-only rally; inclusion of bear ETFs to hedge; emphasis on relatively short lookback momentum which can be volatile but is intended to catch trend changes quickly.
Out-of-sample, this RSI-driven strategy delivers superior risk-adjusted returns vs S&P 500: oos Sharpe 1.06 vs 0.82, ~76% annualized vs ~15%, Calmar ~0.97. It uses regime-based bets and hedges to capture upside and limit drawdowns.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 14, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Equities, bonds, momentum, market timing, leveraged etfs, tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
VGIT
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF
Stocks