Beat the SPY with Bonds - 20020726
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based switch between SPY (U.S. stocks) and TLT (long‑term Treasuries) using long‑/short‑term trend and recent volatility. When both rules agree it goes all‑in; when they don’t, it holds both. Aims to beat stocks with bond defense.
Two rules choose between SPY (U.S. stocks) and TLT (long‑term U.S. Treasury bonds). Rule 1: If the 100‑day average price is above a 150‑day recently‑weighted average (EMA favors recent days), hold SPY; if not, hold SPY only on short‑term dips (price below its 5‑day average), otherwise TLT. Rule 2: If the last 10 days were calm (small swings), hold SPY; if choppy, hold TLT. If both agree it goes 100%; if not, it splits 50/50. Rebalanced daily.
Two-asset SPY/TLT rotation with trend and volatility filters to capture stock upside while cushioning drawdowns. Daily rebalanced, disciplined risk controls aim for competitive risk-adjusted returns versus the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07 | 0.73 | 0.76 | 0.87 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,126.92% | 11.22% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.66 | |
| 3,368.74% | 16.24% | 0.54% | -0.35% | 1.03 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$346,873.55Regulatory Fees
$442.59
Total Slippage
$2,944.70
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 23, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, spy/tlt rotation, trend filter, volatility filter, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalance