BDRY: Prevent Major Drawdowns
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules-based “risk switch.” It goes all-in SPY in healthy uptrends, splits between SPY and cash if things look stretched, hides in cash or shorts (SH) when trends break, and only rarely uses UVXY during fear spikes. BDRY and BND act as warning lights.
Daily, it checks a few “thermometers”:
- Global trade pulse: if a shipping index (BDRY) is strong, it stays in stocks (SPY).
- Stock trend: is the S&P 500 above or below its 200‑day and 50‑day averages?
- Short‑term “heat” (RSI): a 0–100 gauge of how stretched up or down the market is.
- Risk appetite: are bonds firming and bearish bets fading (BND vs SH)?
Then it picks: mostly SPY in uptrends, SPY+cash if mixed, cash (BIL) or a small/large short (SH) in downtrends, and rarely UVXY during building fear spikes.
Targets ~23% annualized return with SPY-like volatility and stronger downside protection. Calmar ~2.58 and out-of-sample Sharpe near SPY's; robust, risk-adjusted gains: stay in uptrends, cut risk in downturns vs SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.35 | 0.23 | 0.03 | 0.16 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204.98% | 14.99% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 0.82 | |
| 1,594% | 42.53% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 1.4 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$169,399.93Regulatory Fees
$379.94
Total Slippage
$3,140.80
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 31, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend-following, risk-managed, volatility hedge, s&p 500
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total