Bastardized Pareto's Portfolio
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rule-based, risk-on/risk-off portfolio that uses simple “hot/cold” signals, volatility spikes, and rate trends to rotate across 3x U.S. equities, T‑Bills, VIX hedge, top commodities, tactical EM long/short, and dynamic Treasury bets (TMF/TMV).
Each day it checks simple signals to pick a playbook.
RSI (0–100 “heat meter”): >~80 = too hot, <~30 = too cold.
• Too hot (QQQ/SPY/sectors): hold 50% VIXY (volatility hedge) + 50% T‑Bills (BIL).
• Too cold: buy 3x rebounds (SOXL/TQQQ/UPRO).
• Vol spike: sit in BIL.
Else pick by rates: if bonds (BND) beat cash (BIL), hold 3x U.S. stocks (UPRO/TQQQ/UDOW); otherwise rotate to top commodities + a tactical EM long/short tilt. A separate bond sleeve flips between 3x long/short Treasuries (TMF/TMV) via trend/RSI.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~92% vs S&P ~25%; Calmar ~2.20 and Sharpe ~1.20 signal strong risk-adjusted upside. Daily risk-on/risk-off rotations across equities, hedges, bonds, and commodities offer diversification beyond the S&P (drawdowns can be larger in crises).
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 7, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,multi-asset,momentum,rsi,trend-following,volatility hedge,leveraged etfs,risk-on/risk-off,daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 44 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond ETF
Stocks
BWX
SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
COM
Direxion Auspice Broad Commodity Strategy ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBB
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks