Bastardized Pareto's Portfolio
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based switch: hedge with T‑bills/volatility when markets look overheated, buy 3x stock ETFs when oversold, and otherwise rotate into commodity leaders, EM bull/bear, and long/short Treasuries based on simple trend and momentum checks.
Daily checks for “too hot/too cold” using RSI (a speedometer of recent price moves: high=overheated, low=beaten‑down).
- Too hot: hide in T‑bills (BIL) + volatility (VIXY).
- Too cold: buy 3x stock funds (UPRO/TQQQ/SOXL).
- In‑between: if bonds > cash, hold 3x S&P/Nasdaq/Dow; else rotate into top commodities (DBC/PDBC/etc), an EM bull/bear (EDC/EDZ), and long/short Treasuries (TMF/TMV) using trend.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers stronger risk-adjusted upside than the S&P: ~92% annualized return, Calmar ~2.20, and Sharpe ~1.2, with diversified exposure to commodities, EM, and rate hedges. Note higher drawdown risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.97 | 1.38 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224.04% | 14.19% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.81 | |
| 1,270,556.48% | 190.5% | -2.54% | -10.52% | 2.42 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$127,065,648.34Regulatory Fees
$386,050.00
Total Slippage
$2,741,155.23
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 7, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset tactical, trend/momentum, risk-on/off, volatility hedge, leveraged etfs, commodities rotation, bonds/duration
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 44 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond ETF
Stocks
BWX
SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
COM
Direxion Auspice Broad Commodity Strategy ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBB
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks