Bastardized Pareto's Portfolio
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based switcher that hedges when stocks look overheated, buys dips when they look washed out, and otherwise rotates among 3× US stock indexes, commodities, EM bull/bear, and bond funds based on trends, volatility spikes, and bonds‑vs‑cash signals.
Each day it checks a few simple cues. If the stock market looks overheated (RSI = a “how stretched is it?” gauge), it hedges with a volatility fund and T‑Bills. If markets look washed out, it buys the dip using 3× index funds. If fear surges, it parks in T‑Bills. Otherwise, if bonds beat cash it goes risk‑on in 3× stock indexes; if not, it rotates into the strongest commodities and an EM bull/bear choice. A separate sleeve rotates among bond ETFs (incl. 3× long/short) based on trend.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~87.5% annualized return vs SPY's ~25.3%, with a Calmar ~2.08 signaling strong risk-adjusted gains. A dynamic, rules-based regime-switcher hedges heat, buys dips, and rotates across assets for diversification.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.39 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234.12% | 14.87% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.83 | |
| 1,418,289.44% | 199.98% | -3.64% | 9.73% | 2.48 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$141,838,943.90Regulatory Fees
$338,411.05
Total Slippage
$2,399,923.06
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 7, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/off, momentum, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, vol hedge, commodities, bonds, em
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 44 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond ETF
Stocks
BWX
SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
COM
Direxion Auspice Broad Commodity Strategy ETF
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBB
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks