Basic Portfolio | 2011-09-13
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑driven portfolio that rotates among U.S. stocks (tech‑tilted), Treasuries, and commodities (oil, gold, natural gas) using trend and overbought/oversold signals. It can hedge spikes with VIXY or step aside into T‑bills (BIL).
It updates daily and splits money across stocks, bonds, and commodities. Simple signals drive decisions:
- Trend filters (moving averages) choose risk‑on vs cash.
- RSI is a hot/cold meter: high=overheated, low=washed‑out.
Stocks default to QQQ (big tech) unless overheated (then VIXY), or weak (then semis/tech or defensive BTAL). Bonds switch between TMF/TMV or cash. Commodities trade DBC/XME, gold, oil, and natural gas via trend/oversold rules. Idle cash sits in BIL (T‑bills).
Out-of-sample edge: 29.38% annualized return vs 20.38% S&P; Sharpe 1.81 vs 1.18; Calmar 2.78; max drawdown 10.58% vs 18.76%; beta ~0.35—lower risk with bigger, diversified upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.28 | 0.21 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 657.8% | 15.13% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.92 | |
| 7,400.36% | 35.04% | 0.68% | 7.37% | 2.51 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$750,036.21Regulatory Fees
$1,777.24
Total Slippage
$11,189.75
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, multi-asset, momentum, trend-following, mean reversion, volatility hedge, commodities, treasuries, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 24 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
FCG
First Trust Natural Gas ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IYY
iShares Dow Jones U.S. ETF
Stocks
KOLD
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks