Base 2 - FTLT or Bull or Bonds (UVXY)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A tactical, rules-based switcher: fade “too hot” markets with UVXY, buy 3x tech/semis/S&P on “too cold,” and otherwise choose risk-on tech/energy or a defensive volatility/market‑neutral mix, with a bond‑vs‑dollar side toggle.
Every day it asks 3 things:
1) Is the stock market “red hot” short-term? If many market/sector funds look stretched up or Nasdaq just had a big up day, it buys UVXY (a fund that jumps when fear spikes) for a quick pullback bet.
2) Is the market “washed out”? If tech/semis/S&P look very sold off short-term, it buys 3x bull funds (TECL, SOXL, or SPXL) for a rebound.
3) If neither, it checks the 6‑month trend: if risk-on (S&P beats Utilities), it mainly holds 3x Tech (TECL), sometimes switching to 2x Energy (ERX) when commodities lead; if risk-off, it moves to a defensive mix of volatility funds (VIXM/UVXY/SVXY) plus a market‑neutral hedge (BTAL). At times, if long bonds look weak, it toggles between 3x long Treasuries (TMF) and a long‑U.S.-dollar fund (USDU).
Dynamic, rules-based strategy delivering outsized out-of-sample upside: ~69.6% annualized vs S&P ~22.4%, via agile tech/energy bets and volatility hedges. Higher upside with risk controls, though drawdowns can be larger in tough markets.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 29, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, leveraged etfs, volatility timing, mean reversion, momentum, risk-on/risk-off, hedging, bonds, us dollar
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 25 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks