Base 2 Bull or Bonds
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-driven, high‑octane switcher. When stocks lead, it swings into 3x stock/tech (or energy) using contrarian RSI triggers; when not, it parks in T‑bills or rotates into long Treasuries or the US dollar. Very aggressive and tactical.
RSI = 0–100 “heat meter” of buying/selling; <30 oversold, >80 overheated. EMA = ~6‑mo avg price.
Ticker map: TECL/TQQQ/SPXL/UPRO/UDOW=3x stock; SOXL=3x semis; ERX=2x energy; UVXY=volatility; SPY/QQQ/SMH/XLK/XLU=benchmarks; TLT/TMF=long Treasuries(3x=TMF); AGG=bonds; BIL=T‑bills; DBC=commodities; UUP=US$.
Logic: If stocks (SPY) beat utilities (XLU) on 6‑mo RSI → risk‑on; else risk‑off. In risk‑on, buy leveraged tech/S&P/semis on deep oversold; buy UVXY if market is overheated. Otherwise split: a contrarian sleeve that buys a 3x stock fund only when its RSI is weaker than bonds (else parks in T‑bills), plus a tilt that favors energy over tech when commodities lead. In risk‑off, repeat the contrarian sleeve, then choose bonds (TMF) or the US$ based on trend/RSI. No fixed rebalance; moves when rules flip.
Out-of-sample shows higher upside: ~28.6% annualized vs 22.2% for the S&P, via risk-on/off rotations and leveraged ETFs. Potential for stronger compounding, but with much larger drawdowns (~67% vs ~19%) and higher volatility; suited for risk-tolerant investors.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.66 | 1.25 | 0.21 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 578.95% | 14.54% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.9 | |
| 3,999,182.75% | 111.9% | 0.15% | -3.63% | 1.85 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$399,928,275.16Regulatory Fees
$1,373,234.15
Total Slippage
$9,840,535.92
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 18, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs,tactical allocation,risk-on/risk-off,momentum & contrarian,us equities,semiconductors,energy,bonds,cash,dollar,volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 19 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks