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Base 2 Bull or Bonds
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A rules-based switch that decides if stocks or defense should lead, then buys sharp dips in 3x stock funds, hides in T‑Bills, or rotates into Treasuries/U.S. dollar. It occasionally buys volatility (UVXY) when markets look overheated. High risk/volatility.
NutHow it works
Plain English: - It first asks: are stocks stronger than defensive utilities over ~6 months (a simple 0–100 “heat” score called RSI)? - Then it checks if long‑term Treasuries are trending up or down (price vs a 6‑month average line, EMA). - When stocks lead and bonds are weak: it buys 3x stock funds on sharp dips; if the market is red‑hot short‑term, it briefly buys a volatility fund (UVXY). If nothing is extreme, it splits money between: (1) picking 3x stock funds only when they look colder than bonds (else T‑Bills), and (2) a small tilt to tech or energy, depending on whether commodities have led lately. - When stocks don’t lead: if bonds are weak it still runs the selective 3x‑vs‑T‑Bills engine; if bonds are strong it holds long Treasuries (TMF) or the U.S. dollar (UUP), whichever looks more “cold” short‑term. Tickers in plain words: TECL/SPXL/UPRO/TQQQ/UDOW/SOXL = 3x bull versions of tech, S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow, semis; ERX = 2x energy; UVXY = bet on volatility spikes; BIL = T‑Bills; AGG = core bonds (reference); XLK = tech; DBC = broad commodities; XLU = utilities; TLT = long Treasuries; TMF = 3x Treasuries; UUP = U.S. dollar.
CheckmarkValue prop
Potentially higher growth: out-of-sample annualized return ~29.6% vs SPY ~22.6%. But it comes with much larger drawdowns (~66% vs ~19%) and a lower risk-adjusted Sharpe, so suitable for swing-tolerant investors.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 18, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend vs mean reversion, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, volatility hedge, sector rotation, bonds vs cash, dollar/treasuries rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"Base 2 Bull or Bonds" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"Base 2 Bull or Bonds" is currently allocated toTECLandBIL. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "Base 2 Bull or Bonds" has returned 29.57%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "Base 2 Bull or Bonds" is 66.59%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "Base 2 Bull or Bonds", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, crypto, and options.