Barebones FTLT v3 - 14 Jul 2006
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rule-based switcher that tries to ride Nasdaq uptrends with leverage, fade short-term extremes, and hide in Treasuries or gold when risk is off. It chooses among QLD, QID, TLT, and GLD using simple signals from QQQ and TLT.
It watches QQQ (big tech). If QQQ’s recent swings are huge, it moves to TLT (Treasury bonds). If QQQ looks washed out (RSI, a 0–100 “heat” gauge, is <30), it buys QLD (2× QQQ). If QQQ is red‑hot (RSI >80), it buys QID (−2× QQQ). Otherwise, if QQQ’s 6‑month momentum beats Utilities (XLU), it buys QLD. If not, it hides in TLT or GLD: if TLT is trending up, it picks the weaker of TLT/GLD over the past week; else it holds GLD.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~33% vs SPY ~22%, with ~20% max drawdown and Calmar ~1.68. A rules-based, regime-switching strategy capturing Nasdaq rallies with leverage while defending with bonds/gold—stronger growth with disciplined risk vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | 0.71 | 0.2 | 0.44 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 677.19% | 11% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.63 | |
| 99,735.94% | 42.13% | 6.43% | 9.2% | 1.28 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$9,983,593.53Regulatory Fees
$25,509.71
Total Slippage
$172,374.33
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 8, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, qqq-focused, trend + mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, bonds/gold defense
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total